Saturday, September 13, 2014

Pakistan Grand Strategic Failures 1916-2013.


Pakistani (Punjabi Establishment) state needs to abandon the following: Islam as a tool of strategy and policy, Ethnic chauvinism, like regarding any of Pakistan’s ethnicities as inferior. Abandon the idea that only Punjabi's are entitled to make money while others like( Pashtuns Baluchis") should act as military proxies, colonial subjects, and lesser citizens.

By Major Agha Amin ( Pakistan Army  Intelligence and Think Tank officer GHQ ) .

We hold the view that Pakistan has been a strategic failure despite tactical and mid level successes. The reason for this failure lies not in good or bad luck but consequences of tangible and precise decisions taken by key Muslim decision makers ,initially British Indian subjects and after 1947 Pakistani citizens.

Pakistani duplicity with NATO landed Pakistan into more problems than it solved and was thus a bad strategic decision. True that Pakistani military supported vast bulk of Taliban in Afghanistan , the sad part and hard reality is that all Islamic extremists will unite at some stage and destroy the Pakistani state as it exists today. 

General Musharrafs white washing all sins of Pakistani politicians known as NRO was a decisive strategic failure of the Pakistani state .In the process Musharraf institutionalized corruption as a legitimate system and Pakistani military almost irrevocably lost any remaining moral credibility that it enjoyed inside Pakistan.

Pakistani military may find it difficult to recover from this strategic defeat in the long run. In 2008 Pakistani military lost a good chance to destroy FATA rebels .Pakistan Army was in a position to destroy the TTP but Pakistani chief Kiani a man of indecisive nature failed. It stands as a major strategic failure of Pakistani military. 

How to sum it up :

 Pakistan’s most serious challenges are neither India , nor terrorism but :--- 

1. Energy generation 
2. Tax Collection .

Pakistani state needs to abandon the following :-- 

1. Islam as a tool of strategy and policy. 
2. Ethnic chauvinism, like regarding any of Pakistan’s ethnicities as inferior. 
3. Abandon the idea that only Punjabi's are entitled to make money while others like( Pashtuns Baluchis") should act as military proxies, colonial subjects, and lesser citizens.

 In simple terms Pakistan can survive only if: --- 

1. Abandons Islam as a strategic or military tool. 
2. Abandons confrontation with India. 
3. Overcomes its two critical issues 
(a) Energy 
(b) Tax evasion. 
4. Reforms its administrative structure creating smaller provinces, more self sufficient, self contained. 
5. Pakistani state whoever runs it ensures that development funds reach the right people. 
6. Forget about its neighbors specially Afghanistan as a source of strategic depth. 
7. Abandon duplicity as a strategy in foreign policy.

 All these are hard challenges. Pakistanis must realize that Pakistan was not inevitable . It was created by British strategic design , survived with US largesse ,later supplemented by Chinese and Arab money. 

Pakistan s mafia style political and military Dons must understand that today major part of worlds stake holders are perplexed about what to do with Pakistan and Pakistan since 1991 has been a problem rather than a solution ! 

While British strategy makers and policy wizards painstakingly visualized a Muslim strategic subsidiary base in Indias North West to act as tactical garbage collector against USSR , today worlds think tanks , policy makers and most powerful statesman spend sleepless nights worrying over Pakistan , a garrison state gone roguĂ© ! 

An unwritten question of profound scholar Dr Ishtiaq when he wrote his magnum bonum Pakistan-garrison state was , how can an imperialist creation gone wrong , be corrected ? Or is there only a harsh Stalinist solution to Pakistan , a strategic anachronism par excellence ! 

Pakistans political and military Dons must not take solace in the fact that its nukes can act as strategic umbrellas for corruption and massive fraud and tax evasion ! 

What is unprecedented can also finally be practiced in strategy ! Above all that states cannot survive forever on foreign states largesse . 

One day a state must stand on its own feet or be ready to cease to exist ????? The party cannot go on forever ???? One day even Nawaz Sharif , Zardari and Pakistani military will have to pay ?????

Source : 1. http://csi-ops.blogspot.com/2014/03/pakistans-grand-strategic-failures-from_29.html